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OWN GOLD ALWAYS
Smart investors always diversify. Wise
investors always include gold in their asset mix. Unlike
paper investments such as stocks, bonds, and even dollars,
gold is always in demand. When the Internet bubble burst,
a ton of tech stocks fell to pennies, even to zero. Since
1980, an ounce of gold has never been worth less than $250.
For 6,000 years, since the beginning of recorded
history, gold has been revered as a storehouse of financial
value as well as a beautiful substance with which to fabricate
jewelry and works of art. From Egyptian pharaohs to modern-day
magnates such as George Soros, Warren Buffet, and Bill Gates,
people have acquired gold to maintain and increase their wealth.
Even in the most stable times or when the stock and/or real
estate markets are on fire, the smart money keeps 5-10% of
its assets in gold. Being smart, they do not put all their
faith in money managers and stock brokers whose income depends
on encouraging investment in paper assets. They know that
the political and economic climate often changes rapidly and
unexpectedly, as it did, for example, on Sep. 11, 2001, and
with the US invasion and occupation of Iraq.
In another article we describe the urgent
reasons to invest in gold today and the potentially enormous
profits you can reap from investing in gold today. Here, however,
we stick with the reasons why wise investors always own gold.
Constant demand
About 80% of the gold bought today is used to make jewelry.
Gold jewelry is in high demand not only in the world's richest
and most industrialized countries, but also in India, China,
and other Asian countries, as well as in Latin America and
Africa. The gold jewelry market is so diverse that when demand
declines in one area, it is likely to rise in another. Furthermore,
demand for gold jewelry tends to decline only during periods
of economic downturn. But it is precisely during such periods
that investment demand for gold rises rapidly.
Constant rarity
Companies can and do issue additional shares of stock, diluting
the shares already held by investors. Governments print money
and inject it into the economy, diluting the cash in your
pocket and bank accounts. Even many non-paper assets, such
as mass produced collectibles, are, well, mass-produced. Their
supply is essentially infinite.
In another article we describe the urgent
reasons to invest in gold today and the potentially enormous
profits you can reap from investing in gold today. Here, however,
we stick with the reasons why wise investors always own gold.
Gold, however, is one of the scarcest substances
on earth. Tons of ore must be processed to produce an ounce
of gold. According to the US Bureau of Mines, all the gold
ever mined throughout history and throughout the world would
build a cube measuring only 60 feet on edge. Furthermore,
as relatively easy-to-mine sources are depleted, new sources
of gold are harder and harder to find. And it takes, on average,
about seven years to bring a new source of gold into commercial
production, which creates a major gap between increasing demand
and increasing supply.
Universal liquidity
Many hard assets do not have the liquidity of stocks and bonds.
There are times when it can take months or even years to sell
real estate, art, or collectibles such as carpets or antiques.
Gold, in the form of bars or bullion coins issued by the US
Mint and other mints, is traded on an active global market
in North and South America, Europe, Africa, and Asia. It is
always easy to buy gold and easy to sell it.
Nor are gold sales encumbered by the paperwork
and government tax filings that characterize stock and bond
trades. Even if stock markets fail, banks close, and governments
are in crisis - in fact, especially under those circumstances
- there are eager bidders for gold in every city and country
in the world.
True diversification
Our parents told us, "Don't put all your eggs in one basket."
Investment advisors also preach the virtue of diversification.
But by "diversification" they often mean split your assets
between stocks and bonds, and between large cap, mid-cap,
and small cap growth and value stocks, with some international
equities thrown in. Unfortunately, when the whole stock market
swoons, especially when the bond market crashes alongside
it, you can find yourself holding only one basket after all.
Such scenarios can and do take place in real life, as many
of us have discovered from reading about the Japanese stock
market, or about recent events in Argentina - or from reading
our own portfolio statements.
Gold, however, is a true portfolio diversifier.
Its "correlation coefficient" with the price of global stock
has ranged within plus or minus 0.4 since 1993, averaging
around zero. In plain English, that means that the price of
gold does not vary with the stock market, but independently
from the stock market. Owning gold really is holding another
basket.
Always own gold
Constant demand, constant rarity, universal liquidity, and
true diversification. These are among the key reasons a wise
investor always owns gold as a portion of his or her portfolio.
Although more investment advisors are recommending gold now
than during the 1990s, most still ignore gold and favor holding
only paper assets. They have no way of profiting from recommending
buying physical gold, which may have something to do with
their outlook. In our view, such narrow thinking is always
wrong. In today's economic and political environment, it is
horribly, even tragically, wrong.
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